The Spirit Awards Weren’t the Oscars, But They Got as Close as They Could

Read on: TheWrapTheWrap.

In recent years, Film Independent Spirit Award voters have more often than not gone for the movies most likely to win at the Academy Awards the next day. But they didn’t have that option with this year’s Best Feature nominees, none of which had even been nominated for the Best Picture Oscar.

So they went with the closest thing they could find to an Oscar movie: Barry Jenkins’ exquisite love story “If Beale Street Could Talk,” which was nominated for three Oscars but woefully left out in the top category.

The film was named Best Feature, Jenkins took the award for directing, and the 2019 Spirit Awards ended up feeling sort of like an alternative to the Oscars, but sort of like the closest thing that Spirit voters could conjure up.

Also Read: Independent Spirit Awards 2019: Complete Winners List (Updating Live)

The Spirit nominating committee had given voters a real challenge, with a Best Feature lineup with no Oscars overlap but one in which any one of the five nominees would have been a worthy winner. The others were Bo Burnham’s painfully honest “Eighth Grade,” Paul Schrader’s austere and devastating “First Reformed,” Debra Granik’s brilliantly understated “Leave No Trace” and Lynne Ramsay’s dark and corrosive “You Were Never Really Here.”

While the juries that choose nominees at the Spirit Awards are known for unusual and bold choices, the final vote is in the hands of 7,000 members of Film Independent – some of them filmmakers, others movie fans who pay the annual dues. That necessarily moves the winners into the awards mainstream, which is what exactly what happened on Saturday.

The first award of the afternoon went to Oscar-nominated supporting actor Richard E. Grant for “Can You Ever Forgive Me?” The supporting-actress award went to Regina King, whose performance in “If Beale Street Could Talk” made her the only Oscar nominee in her category. The Best Female Lead trophy went to Glenn Close for “The Wife,” repeating what has happened at every previous awards show this season (and what is expected to play out on Sunday at the Oscars).

Also Read: Spirit Awards: Watch Aubrey Plaza Sacrifice ‘Stranger Things’ Star Finn Wolfhard in Bloody Ritual (Video)

In addition, the international-film award went to “Roma,” the Oscar favorite for Best Foreign Language Film and a strong Best Picture contender, and the screenplay award went to Nicole Holofcener and Jeff Whitty’s Oscar-nominated script for “Can You Ever Forgive Me?”

In fact, there was only one category in which a film that was nominated for the Oscars lost to a film that wasn’t — and that one was a complete anomaly. Spirit Award voters gave the prize to Morgan Neville’s “Won’t You Be My Neighbor?” over three Oscar nominees, “Minding the Gap,” “Of Fathers and Sons” and “Hale County This Morning, This Evening” — but Academy’s doc branch hadn’t mysteriously failed to nominate “Neighbor,” it would have been the clear Oscar favorite.

In a few other categories beyond Best Feature, voters didn’t have the option of going for the Oscar nominee. So Ethan Hawke won the Best Male Lead award for a performance in “First Reformed” that should have been nominated, and Burnham won the Best First Screenplay award for “Eighth Grade,” not an Oscar nominee but the most rewarded of the nominees.

The Spirit Awards could have used Saturday to present a true alternative to the Academy’s big show, but that’s not their style anymore. And to be fair, it’s hard to quibble with any of the voters’ choices, which rewarded uniformly excellent films across the board.

For Close, for “Roma,” perhaps for King, Saturday will likely be one more stop on the road to Sunday. For others — for “Won’t You Be My Neighbor?” and for a gleefully appreciative Richard E. Grant, moved to tears as he remembered the actor friend on whom his character is based — it may be the last award of a long season.

So what if the Spirit Awards didn’t go out of their way to be all indie and alternative? A batch of people who deserve awards received them on Saturday, and now it’s almost time to close the book on this awards season.

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How the Oscars Bungled This Year’s Show So Badly, and Where the Academy Goes From Here

Spirit Awards: Watch Aubrey Plaza Sacrifice ‘Stranger Things’ Star Finn Wolfhard in Bloody Ritual (Video)

Read on: TheWrapTheWrap.

Well that got awkward quick. Aubrey Plaza staged a bizarre, bloody cold open to the Film Independent Spirit Awards on Saturda, in which she and some female indie royalty attempted a ritual to spare the world of blockbuster films.
Appearing in a black c…

Independent Spirit Awards 2019: Complete Winners List (Updating Live)

Read on: TheWrapTheWrap.

The 2019 Film Independent Spirit Awards are taking place today, Saturday Feb. 23, recognizing the best in independent film from 2018.

In one of the most evenly spread fields in years, Eighth Grade,” “First Reformed,” “You Were Never Really Here” and “We the Animals” each received four nominations, while “If Beale Street Could Talk,” “Leave No Trace,” “Private Life” and “The Tale” each received three nods.

While the Indie Spirits usually come close in nominations to the Oscars the following day, this year’s Best Feature nominees are entirely different from the crop of Oscar Best Picture nominees.

Aubrey Plaza is hosting the awards ceremony that’s airing live on IFC. We’ll be updating the full list of winners as they come in below.

Also Read: ‘Leave No Trace’ Director Debra Granik Wins $50,000 Spirit Awards Filmmaker Grant


Debra Granik, LEAVE NO TRACE
Tamara Jenkins, PRIVATE LIFE


Christian Malheiros, SOCRATES

Glenn Close, THE WIFE
Toni Collette, HEREDITARY
Elsie Fisher, EIGHTH GRADE
Carey Mulligan, WILDLIFE

Raúl Castillo, WE THE ANIMALS
Winner: Richard E. Grant, CAN YOU EVER FORGIVE ME?
Josh Hamilton, EIGHTH GRADE
John David Washington, MONSTERS AND MEN

Kayli Carter, PRIVATE LIFE
Thomasin Harcourt McKenzie, LEAVE NO TRACE
J. Smith-Cameron, NANCY


ROBERT ALTMAN AWARD (given to one film’s director, casting directors and ensemble cast)


BURNING (South Korea)
THE FAVOURITE (United Kingdom)
Winner: ROMA (Mexico)

Keiko Deguchi, Brian A. Kates & Jeremiah Zagar, WE THE ANIMALS
Luke Dunkley, Nick Fenton, Chris Gill & Julian Hart, AMERICAN ANIMALS
Anne Fabini, Alex Hall and Gary Levy, THE TALE
Nick Houy, MID90S

Diego Garcia, WILDLIFE
Benjamin Loeb, MANDY
Sayombhu Mukdeeprom, SUSPIRIA
Zak Mulligan, WE THE ANIMALS

Winner: Bo Burnham, EIGHTH GRADE
Christina Choe, NANCY
Jennifer Fox, THE TALE
Quinn Shephard (Writer/Story By) and Laurie Shephard (Story By), BLAME

Richard Glatzer (Writer/Story By), Rebecca Lenkiewicz & Wash Westmoreland, COLETTE
Nicole Holofcener & Jeff Whitty, CAN YOU EVER FORGIVE ME?
Tamara Jenkins, PRIVATE LIFE

Truer Than Fiction Award
Alexandria Bombach, ON HER SHOULDERS
Winner: Bing Liu, MINDING THE GAP

Someone to Watch Award
Winner: Alex Moratto, SOCRATES
Ioana Uricaru, LEMONADE
Jeremiah Zagar, WE THE ANIMALS

Producers Award
Jonathan Duffy and Kelly Williams
Gabrielle Nadig
Winner: Shrihari Sathe

Bonnie Award
Winner: Debra Granik
Tamara Jenkins
Karyn Kusama

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‘If Beale Street Could Talk’ Holds Solidly in Quiet Pre-Christmas Indie Box Office

How to Stream the 2019 Independent Spirit Awards Live Online

Read on: TheWrapTheWrap.

After a long and shockingly wide open campaign, Hollywood’s awards’ season is finally drawing to a close this weekend with the Independent Spirit Awards and the Oscars. The Spirit Awards, a celebration of many of the year’s best independent films, is taking place on the evening of Saturday, Feb. 23 at 5 p.m. ET/ 2 p.m. PT live from Santa Monica, Calif.

The ceremony will be carried live by the cable channel IFC, and the online streaming option for the Independent Spirit Awards comes in two flavors.

The first is the one you come to expect for pretty much everything: the online stream available on IFC’s official site here, as well as the IFC app for mobile devices and streaming boxes for your TV. This stream requires you to log in with an applicable TV provider.

Also Read: Spirit Awards: For a Change, They’re Not Trying to Be the Oscars’ Baby Brother

But if you don’t have one of those, fear not because there is also an official stream of the Independent Spirit Awards that will be completely free. That stream you can find on Facebook, on the Film Independent page right here. Easy as pie.

If you miss the show when it happens live, you can check out an encore at 9 p.m. ET/6 p.m. PT.

This year’s Spirit Awards will be hosted by the illustrious Aubrey Plaza, and you can click here to check out the full list of nominees, led by films such as “We the Animals,” Eighth Grade,” “First Reformed” and “You Were Never Really Here.”

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Spirit Awards: For a Change, They’re Not Trying to Be the Oscars’ Baby Brother

Aubrey Plaza Dings Host-Less Oscars in Independent Spirit Awards Promo (Video)

‘If Beale Street Could Talk,’ ‘Leave No Trace’ Nominated for Top Independent Spirit Awards

Spirit Awards: For a Change, They’re Not Trying to Be the Oscars’ Baby Brother

Read on: TheWrapTheWrap.

Saturday’s Film Independent Spirit Awards has a host, Aubrey Plaza, and will no doubt use that fact as a way to poke fun at their bigger competitor, the hostless Academy Awards.

But that’s far from the only way that the Spirit Awards will distinguish themselves from the Academy Awards during their afternoon shindig on the beach the day before the Oscars.

More than in most recent years, Saturday’s Spirit Awards won’t be an out-of-town tryout for Sunday’s Oscars, looser and less consequential but honoring many of the same films.

Also Read: Aubrey Plaza Dings Host-Less Oscars in Independent Spirit Awards Promo (Video)

Instead, this year’s Spirit lineup offers a real alternative to the Oscars. The Spirits’ five Best Feature nominees, for instance, were all overlooked by the Oscars in the Best Picture category: Bo Burnham’s “Eighth Grade,” Debra Granik’s “Leave No Trace” and Lynne Ramsay’s “You Were Never Really Here,” none of which received a single nomination from the Academy, plus “First Reformed,” which got one, and “If Beale Street Could Talk,” which got three.

Those are five exceptional films that can hold their own against the Academy’s lineup, and they make a case for what the Spirit Awards should be: not the baby brother to the bigger, glitzier show across town the next day, but a true alternative. Recognizing the heart and quality of “Leave No Trace” or “First Reformed” or “Beale Street,” after all, is a far worthier achievement than serving as just one more precursor award on the road to the Dolby Theatre.

That’s what the Spirit Awards were in their early years, when they gave their top award to “Sex, Lies and Videotape” instead of “Driving Miss Daisy,” “Pulp Fiction” instead of “Forrest Gump,” “Fargo” instead of “The English Patient.”

Also Read: ‘If Beale Street Could Talk,’ ‘Leave No Trace’ Nominated for Top Independent Spirit Awards

In the first 20 years of their existence, the Spirit Awards nominations in the Best Feature category included a grand total of six films that would also be nominated for the Best Picture Oscar, and only one, “Platoon,” that won both awards.

But in the 14 years since then, 26 films have been nominated for both awards, including three out of five in 2005 and 2017 and four out of five in 2010 and 2014. And between 2014 and 2017, all four of the Spirit Award winning films — “12 Years a Slave,” “Birdman,” “Spotlight” and “Moonlight” — went on to win the Oscar for Best Picture, and more than half the Spirit acting winners repeated at the Oscars as well.

The best-pic streak came to an end last year when “Get Out” won the Spirit Award and “The Shape of Water” took the Oscar — and it definitely won’t start up again this year, since for the first time in 10 years, none of the Spirits’ Best Feature nominees are in the running for the top Oscar.

Also Read: ‘Leave No Trace’ Director Debra Granik Wins $50,000 Spirit Awards Filmmaker Grant

Sure, a handful of Oscar nominees are sprinkled through the rest of the Spirit Awards categories. With Glenn Close, Regina King, Richard E. Grant and Adam Driver in the acting categories, the Spirits and Oscars could easily end up with a couple of overlapping winners. “Can You Ever Forgive Me?” is nominated for screenplay, while the documentary category contains Oscar nominees “Minding the Gap,” “Of Fathers and Sons” and “Hale County This Morning, This Evening” and the international-film category includes “Roma,” “Shoplifters” and “The Favourite.”

(At the Spirit Awards, a film can qualify as foreign even if it’s in English, as “The Favourite” is.)

But despite the occasional overlap, this year’s Spirit Awards might well end up saluting 15-year-old Elsie Fisher (“Eighth Grade”) instead of 71-year-old Glenn Close (“The Wife”), or giving awards to Debra Granik, Tamara Jenkins, Thomasin McKenzie, John David Washington, Ethan Hawke or John Cho.

Also Read: A Hostless Oscars? The Last Time the Academy Tried That, Things Got Ugly

Oh, and here’s one more way they’re different from the Oscars: While the Academy tried but failed to move four categories, including cinematography, into the commercial breaks, the Spirit Awards have been doing that for years without causing a fuss.

Last year, for instance, “Call Me by Your Name” won the Spirit Award for cinematography before the live broadcast on IFC even began — and the fact that it did so without raising the kind of stink that greeted the Academy’s proposed move is perhaps a sign that the stakes are lower and the passions less inflamed when it comes to Saturday afternoon on the beach v. Sunday night in Hollywood.

But if the Spirit Awards do their job right, the winners won’t be any less worthy.

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How the Oscars Bungled This Year’s Show So Badly, and Where the Academy Goes From Here

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Aubrey Plaza Dings Host-Less Oscars in Independent Spirit Awards Promo (Video)

Read on: TheWrapTheWrap.

In announcing her own hosting gig for the 2019 Film Independent Spirit Awards, Aubrey Plaza took a shot at that other awards show.

You know the one. The one that doesn’t currently have a host? While she didn’t call the Oscars out by name, the “Parks & Recreation” star took a jab at the Academy Awards, which is currently going forward with its plan to go without an emcee for the first time since 1989.

“What do the 2019 Film Independent Spirit Awards have that the other award show doesn’t? An actual f–ing host!” the actress says in the promo. “Watch an awards show with a host. Hosted by me, host Aubrey Plaza. I will host,” she added. You can watch the expletive-filled promo above.

Also Read: Hey, Oscars Voters: Your Third, Fourth and Fifth Choices for Best Picture Probably Won’t Matter

The Academy declined to comment to TheWrap on the host situation — but according to people close to the show, the expectation is that they will not replace Kevin Hart, who was initially tapped to host, but dropped out in early December after a furor over some past homophobic tweets.

The last time the Oscars dispensed with a host was the Allan Carr-produced show of 1989, which opened with a 12-minute production number (you might remember the part with Rob Lowe and Snow White).

The 2019 Film Independent Spirit Awards will air live on IFC at 2 p.m. PT/ 5 p.m. ET on Saturday, Feb. 23, 2019.

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Spirit Awards: Allison Janney Wins Supporting Actress Award for ‘I, Tonya’

Read on: Variety.

Allison Janney has won the Best Supporting Actress Spirit Award for portraying a demented mother in “I, Tonya.” Janney, who’s favored to win the category at Sunday’s Academy Awards, topped Holly Hunter for “The Big Sick,”  Laurie Metcalf for “Lady Bird,” Lois Smith for “Marjorie Prime,” and Taliah Lennice Webster for “Good Time.” Sayombhu Mukdeeprom […]

2018 Independent Spirit Awards: Winners List (Updating Live)

Read on: Variety.

The 33rd Independent Spirit Awards are being handed out Saturday afternoon from a beach in Santa Monica ahead of Sunday’s Academy Awards, with “Call Me by Your Name” up for the most trophies. The romance film nabbed six nominations, including best feature, with Robert Pattinson-starrer “Good Time” and Jordan Peele’s “Get Out” up for five […]

Spirit Awards 2018: Blue Carpet Arrivals (Updating Live)

Read on: TheWrapTheWrap.

See what your favorite movie stars are wearing as they arrive in Santa Monica, California for the 33rd annual Film Independent Spirit Awards. The actors, actresses, writers, producers and directors

Actress Allison Janney

Actress Zoey Deutch

Actor Robert Pattinson

Actors/writers Kumail Nanjiani and Emily V. Gordon

Actress Haley Lu Richardson

Actor Ben Mendelsohn

Film Independent Responds To Volunteer Lawsuit: Workers Treated “With Gratitude & Respect” – Update

Read on: Deadline.

UPDATE with response At the 2014 Independent Spirit Awards, a woman named Laurie Woods was among the volunteers scrambling to keep the food coming and drinks flowing while stars from Nebraska, 12 Years a Slave and Dallas Buyers Club wined, dined and hoped for a trophy.
But Woods now says the word “volunteer” doesn’t really fit what she and scores of other workers accomplished that day and in the several weeks leading up to it, and she wants Film Independent to pay up. She…

Independent Spirit Awards Volunteers Claim Exploitation

Read on: Variety.

A legion of volunteers will be on hand on Saturday at the Independent Spirit Awards, staffing tables and making sure the event runs smoothly. But according to a class-action lawsuit filed this week in Los Angeles Superior Court, that arrangement violates California labor law. The complaint, filed by former volunteer Laurie Woods, alleges that Film […]

Independent Spirit Awards: Timothee Chalamet, Janelle Monae, Robert Pattinson Round Out Presenters List

Read on: Deadline.

EXCLUSIVE: Film Independent has announced the second batch of presenters set to take the stage at the 33rd edition of the Independent Spirit Awards, which IFC will air live Saturday  at 2 PM PT/5 PM ET.
Joining the roster of presenters are Call Me by Your Name’s Timothée Chalamet (who’s up for the Best Male Lead), Robert Pattinson (who’s also up for Best Male Lead for his role in Good Time), Spirit Award winner Janelle Monáe, Get Out scene stealer Lil Rel Howery and award…

Oscar Season’s Winners and Losers, From ‘Moonlight’ to Those Bumbling Accountants

Read on: TheWrapTheWrap.

It started with hopes and dreams in Sundance, and then Cannes, and Venice and Telluride and Toronto. It slogged on for months of campaigning, turning gifted artists into promo machines and, eventually, awards zombies.

And it ended on Sunday night in a confused mess on the stage of the Dolby Theatre, where one movie won Best Picture and then lost it, and another lost it and then won it, and nobody really knew what was going on.

But when the dust cleared, we located a few winners and losers from Oscar night 2017, and from the entire awards season.

WINNER: “Moonlight”
It won Best Picture, an amazing feat for an indie film that cost a paltry $1.5 million, features an all-black cast and was made by a director with only one previous feature to his name. It capped a night devoted to inclusion and diversity, and served — as TheWrap wrote when we put it on the cover of our first Oscar print magazine in November — as “a pointed rebuke to #OscarsSoWhite.”

LOSER: “Moonlight”
But the film didn’t get the moment that would have sent a jolt through the Dolby Theatre and through many viewers at home, when Faye Dunaway or Warren Beatty would have opened the envelope and said, “And the Oscar goes to ‘Moonlight.’” Instead, its win came clouded in chaos and confusion — which might have made it more memorable, but also made it less satisfying.

Also Read: Oscars: Stars’ Reactions to ‘Moonlight’ Best Picture Win Are The Best (Photos)

The indie company didn’t exist until 2012, and for its first few years it didn’t get much awards traction with releases like “A Glimpse in the Mind of Charles Swan III,” “Spring Breakers” and “The Bling Ring,” or even with presumably awards-worthy films like “The Spectacular Now,” “Under the Skin” and “A Most Violent Year.” But last year, “Ex Machina” won a surprise Oscar for visual effects and “Room” was nominated for Best Picture and won Best Actress for Brie Larson. And now, while its drama “20th Century Women” didn’t get the awards love it deserved, A24 has won the big prize with “Moonlight,” and done it without the budget of many of its competitors.

There’s no question who looks worst in the wrong-envelope fiasco: the accounting firm of PwC, who for more than 80 years have been entrusted with keeping Oscar voting secure and beyond reproach. PwC balloting leader Brian Cullinan blew it on the biggest stage and at the biggest moment — and the revelation that he was tweeting celeb pix when he could have been double-checking envelopes only tarnishes PwC’s brand (and their client’s brand) even further.

Also Read: Why Did Oscars Take So Long to Fix Best Picture Flub and 7 Other Questions From Night’s Epic Fail

WINNER: Jordan Horowitz
It was the ultimate nightmare situation for any movie producer: You’ve just won the Academy Award for Best Picture, you’ve given an acceptance speech and suddenly you’re told that there’s been a mistake and you actually lost. But “La La Land” producer Horowitz handled it with as much grace and class as you could possibly imagine. He might not have deserved the label of “hero” that the Boston Globe gave him, but he deserved this grateful tweet from “Moonlight” director Barry Jenkins: “Jordan Horowitz. Wow. I’m slipping slowly into reflection, perspective. Much respect to that dude.”

(Horowitz’s fellow producer, Fred Berger, on the other hand, didn’t exactly shine, giving an acceptance speech after learning of the mistake and ending with, “we lost, by the way — but, you know.”)

LOSER: Warren Beatty
Yes, the blame falls mostly on PwC, which gave him the wrong envelope. But Beatty could have noticed that his envelope said “ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE” both on the front and on the card inside. He was sharp enough to know that something was wrong, so he should have been sharp enough not to let Faye Dunaway read “La La Land.” Plus his decades-in-the-works passion project “Rules Don’t Apply” wasn’t nominated for anything, making it an awards season to forget for the much-admired Hollywood icon.

WINNER: The Race
Here are a few things I believe about this year’s Oscar-contending movies:

“Moonlight” is a great movie. It won three Oscars. “La La Land” is a great movie. It won six Oscars. “Manchester by the Sea” is a great movie. It won two Oscars.

When the race gives us three movies that dazzle and move and inspire us like those three did for me, and all three of them win important awards, it’s hard to feel cheated or disappointed in any way. And it was equally inspiring to see the real camaraderie that seemed to grow between writer-directors Barry Jenkins, Damien Chazelle and Kenneth Lonergan, and their teams, over the course of the season.

So when it ended in chaos, what was there to do but laugh? At the Governors Ball, I ran into Chazelle, who’d been reading my book about the Oscars during much of awards season. (He once pulled a battered copy out of his backpack to prove it.) I told him that after covering 25 Oscars, I’d never seen anything like that. “Yeah,” he said with a laugh. “I was trying to give you something new to write about.”

Also Read: Oscars Flub: Was the Academy’s New Envelope Design Partly to Blame? (Photos)

UNDECIDED: The Academy
A lot hangs in the balance for AMPAS now. Their nominations this year, and their choices on Sunday, were a huge step up from the debacle of #OscarsSoWhite last year. But they’re at the mercy of what Hollywood makes, and they won’t always have the choices they did this year.

And they’ve also got that Best Picture debacle hanging over them. PwC has apologized and promised to investigate. Brian Cullinan is unlikely to be back. Next year’s envelopes will no doubt be easier to read. But on their biggest night, their brand was made to look silly, and that’s a hard thing from which to recover.

WINNER: The Film Independent Spirit Awards
Last year, the Indie Spirit Awards’ two-year streak of predicting Oscar winners seemed to be in jeopardy, but Spirit winner “Spotlight” upset “The Revenant” and “The Big Short” to keep the streak alive. This year, with “La La Land” in the way of Spirit winner “Moonlight,” the streak seemed all but certain to end at three — but it didn’t.

The winner at the Spirit Awards has now won the Best Picture Oscar four years in a row, and five years out of the last six. The Oscars have gotten so indie that we underestimate the power of a Spirit Award winner at our own peril.

Also Read: Independent Spirit Awards: The Complete Winners List

LOSER: The Producers Guild Awards
For a while, the Producers Guild Award for feature film seemed an unimpeachable indicator of Oscar strength. When the Academy expanded from five to 10 best-pic nominees and instituted the preferential system of vote-counting in the final round in that category, the Producers Guild did the same — and for the next six years, every Oscar winner first won the PGA.

But a crack had appeared in 2013, when Oscar winner “12 Years a Slave” tied with “Gravity” at the Producers Guild — and for the last two years, the PGA winner has failed to take home the Oscar. “The Big Short” and “La La Land” both won with the producers but came up short with the Academy, and suddenly the Producers Guild Award seems less like the ultimate precursor award than just another guild.

WINNER: Plan B Entertainment
The production company Plan B, run by Brad Pitt, Dede Gardner and Jeremy Kleiner, is on a remarkable run. The company has had six Best Picture nominees in the last six years: “The Tree of Life” and “Moneyball” in 2011, and then a streak of four years in a row, with “12 Years a Slave” in 2013, “Selma” in 2014, “The Big Short” in 2015 and “Moonlight in 2016. The first and last film in that streak won, making Gardner the first woman to win Best Picture twice. So which of Plan B’s upcoming films is now a lock for a nomination next year?

Also Read: Oscar Records and Firsts, From Viola Davis to Damien Chazelle (Photos)

LOSER: The Best Director-Best Picture correlation
For most of the history of the Oscars, about 80 percent of the men (and one woman) who were named Best Director saw their films also win Best Picture. But for the past five years, with an expanded Best Picture field and different methods of counting the votes in the two categories, only one director has seen his film take both awards. Ang Lee (“Life of Pi”), Alfonso Cuaron (“Gravity”), Alejandro G. Inarritu (“The Revenant”) and now Damien Chazelle (“La La Land”) have all had to settle for Best Director, while somebody else’s film has won Best Picture. And suddenly, that directing prize doesn’t seem quite as predictive as it used to be.

WINNER: The SAG ensemble nomination
After the Screen Actors Guild nominations were announced in December, a red flag went up for “La La Land”: No film had won Best Picture without a SAG ensemble nomination since “Braveheart” in 1996. But most of us brushed off that statistic because “La La Land” was mostly a two-person film, so why should its ensemble be nominated? But that losing streak for films without a SAG ensemble nod has now reached 21 years, and it’s hard not to take it seriously.

LOSER: The SAG individual win
For the last 12 years in a row, the actor who won the SAG award for Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role has gone on to win the Best Actor Oscar. That was the stat routinely cited by many who predicted that Denzel Washington would win this year for “Fences” over Casey Affleck for “Manchester by the Sea.” But the streak ended with Affleck’s win, so maybe we’ll have to focus on the eight-year winning streak in the SAG supporting-actress category.

Also Read: Here Are 3 Oscars Best Picture Flub Conspiracy Theories

WINNER: Kevin O’Connell
Before Sunday night, sound mixer Kevin O’Connell had been nominated for Oscars 21 times, and he’d never won. But the Susan Lucci of the Oscars ended the Academy’s longest losing streak when “Hacksaw Ridge” scored an upset victory in the category.

LOSER: Greg P. Russell
It was a rough two days for another sound mixer, Greg P. Russell, who went into Oscar weekend with 17 Oscar nominations. On Saturday, the Academy announced that it was rescinding his nomination for “13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi” because he’d phoned members of the Sound Branch in violation of Oscar campaign rules. And then on Sunday, Kevin O’Connell’s win immediately turned Russell into the person with the most nominations without a win, at 0-for-16.

WINNER: “Brokeback Mountain”
Remember the 2005 Oscars? “Brokeback Mountain,” a subtle and lyrical film about two men who fall into a sexual relationship in the mountains of Wyoming, won the lion’s share of critics’ awards and was considered the odds-on favorite to win the Oscar for Best Picture. But it lost to a flashier Los Angeles-set film, “Crash,” and anecdotal evidence suggested that some members of the conservative Academy were uneasy with a same-sex relationship depicted on screen.

Well, the L.A.-set “La La Land” is a far better film than “Crash,” but “Brokeback” nonetheless got its revenge on Sunday night, and maybe the Academy grew up a bit.

Also Read: Oscars Nab Nearly 33 Million Total Viewers

LOSER: Pundits
We sift the tea leaves, examine all the guild and critics’ awards, talk to Academy members and decide that we can predict what voters are going to do. Because, you know, we’re master Oscarologists.

And then the Academy Awards roll around, and suddenly “Suicide Squad” is an Oscar-winning movie.

And the Best Picture contender that can’t lose has lost.

And we have finished third in our own family’s Oscar pool.

(And by we, I mean me. And my family consists of three people.)

Sigh. At least it’s over until next year.

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Here Are 3 Oscars Best Picture Flub Conspiracy Theories

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